Trading Discipline
9 Expectancy
Tracks win rate, payoff ratio, expectancy R, SQN, maximum drawdown, and longest losing streak. Results appear in the Expectancy card on the overview page. When the alert is enabled, a push notification reading “Negative expectancy — the system is bleeding slowly” is sent whenever expectancy turns negative.
| Setting | What it does |
|---|---|
| Range | All, Last 7 days, or Last 30 days. The expectancy, daily P&L, and recent closes on the overview all follow this window. Default: All. |
| Target payoff | Default 3, range 1 to 20. |
| Alert on negative expectancy | Default off. |
| Min sample | No conclusion is drawn and no alert is sent until the number of closed trades reaches this threshold. Default 10 trades. |
| Check every | How often TradeGuard checks whether an alert should be sent. Default 60 minutes. |